Friday 19 December 2008

Bruneians and their toys

As I said never say never again, I cannot resist in making some comments regarding the more stringent enforcement of down-payment for car purchases. Firstly, I say it’s about time! This should have been enforced many years ago. Secondly, before many of you hurl all sorts of negative remarks toward the ministry and its directive, I urge you to think twice. Believe you me, this policy is not about making the rich gets richer or the poor gets poorer (i.e. the argument that poor-people-now-can –no-longer-afford-to-buy-cars or make it ‘expensive cars’), in fact it is the opposite.

The previous lax in the enforcement has made many Bruneians spent what they could not afford. This is what we called ‘wealth illusion’. We think we are ‘wealthier’ because we can afford to buy new and big cars, without even batting an eyelash. When in actual fact, we have actually trapped ourselves into ‘debt-slavery’. Don’t many of you feel that the more you earn, the less you actually take home? I’m not going to talk about how the US started (and now many parts of the world) its recession, but in one line, it is really due to this slavery.

Anyway, it should also bring good news to consumers. I am predicting (well hoping actually) that this policy will have an impact on the price of cars in Brunei. [To economics students, don’t read the next paragraph, think about it for a moment :)]

The policy will reduce the demand for cars. If the car-dealers are behaving ‘normally’, they will have to knock down the prices of cars (hurray for me! as we need to buy one) at the expense of their profit margin and perhaps the commission of our friendly car-salespersons. Either that or the interest rates will be knocked down.

So, there. That’s what I think and ought to happen. I’d be quite surprised if it doesn’t. I don’t think the demand will be unchanged since there are already too many cars waiting (at home) to be driven by too few people in Brunei.

Next, credit cards please!

Salaam.

23 comments:

Umar A. said...

I think, to some extent, it boils down to the layperson gaining financial literacy or impartial financial planning advice whether to buy a car, use more of their credit cards or buy a house.

If more Bruneians start to appreciate that at least 3 main personal goals (i.e. a comfortable retirement, education for their children & housing schemes) are not the sole responsibility of the government, then only then will we as Bruneians do something more about it, financial planning-wise that is.

At the very least, we should gain advice from impartial certified financial planners whom are less interested in selling their related products but clearly focusing on our needs.

Gaining financial independence and knowledge is crucial in our day & age. However, I have also unfortunately witnessed people who gained a lil bit of financial knowledge become somewhat big-headed thinking their views/products/schemes are the panacea to their personal goals. The wise-est thing to do is to get a broader opinion from those who truly know. A little knowledge is a dangerous thing.

That leaves me to my opinion that there is a relatively lack of impartial & true financial planners in Brunei, or in financial institutions. On the plus side, there are training programs or potential financial planners in those programs.

Essentially, it will become a question of demand & supply. If there are impartial financial planners, would Bruneians want to heed their services?

My thoughts.

Anonymous said...

If the government's hoping to encourage consumers to take the public transport, it better start its implementation of new policies and infrastructure-building to improve the public transport system ASAP. Not only that consumers will have less incentives to own cars and hence less debt, but think of all the other benefits to the government: Tourism? Fuel conservation? More job opportunities? A reputation as the Clean & Green city the government has opt to pursue?

So let's get it on with, fast!

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The same US$1.7 billion (15% of Brunei GDP) Brunei invested to develop Pulau Muara Besar into a 'megaport' (and also the largest of its kind in BIMP-EAGA region) would be better used to construct an MRT system connecting all strategic residential & commercial areas throughout Brunei-Muara district.

Building the largest port around BIMP-EAGA region itself is not that much a bright idea, by definition BIMP-EAGA comprises of the entire Brunei Darussalam; the provinces of Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku, and Irian Jaya in Indonesia; the states of Sabah and Sarawak, and the federal territory of Labuan in Malaysia; and the island of Mindanao and the province of Palawan in the Philippines. Except for Brunei most are poverty-stricken & underdeveloped economies, what use would a mega-sized 'competitive port' serving this region for? Beside, Sabah & Sarawak already have quite an established port system and certainly prefer to use their own ports. Brunei's soon-to-be new megaport would be lucky if 50% of its capacity can be utilized.

MRT would be different, a significant portion of our population are under-18 youth and if they can travel on their own to school, to tuition, to friend's house, to shopping center, etc, the total time saved by our working population (parents, siblings) can be used on something more productive. More subsidized petrol can be sold abroad, less traffic & pollution, more mobile population boost businesses a bit, etc. It won't reduce demands for cars immediately, but as you know, having a car in Brunei is a necessity nowadays, it can help change that perception over time.

Most problems derived from that the government likes to initiate costly projects aim at boost international prestige (i.e. international halal brand, international financial center, regional megaport, regional islamic banking center) whereas monies should rightfully be spent first on domestic development. Surely we have many things yet to be done for Belait, Tutong & especially Temburong.

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