As I said never say never again, I cannot resist in making some comments regarding the more stringent enforcement of down-payment for car purchases. Firstly, I say it’s about time! This should have been enforced many years ago. Secondly, before many of you hurl all sorts of negative remarks toward the ministry and its directive, I urge you to think twice. Believe you me, this policy is not about making the rich gets richer or the poor gets poorer (i.e. the argument that poor-people-now-can –no-longer-afford-to-buy-cars or make it ‘expensive cars’), in fact it is the opposite.
The previous lax in the enforcement has made many Bruneians spent what they could not afford. This is what we called ‘wealth illusion’. We think we are ‘wealthier’ because we can afford to buy new and big cars, without even batting an eyelash. When in actual fact, we have actually trapped ourselves into ‘debt-slavery’. Don’t many of you feel that the more you earn, the less you actually take home? I’m not going to talk about how the US started (and now many parts of the world) its recession, but in one line, it is really due to this slavery.
Anyway, it should also bring good news to consumers. I am predicting (well hoping actually) that this policy will have an impact on the price of cars in Brunei. [To economics students, don’t read the next paragraph, think about it for a moment :)]
The policy will reduce the demand for cars. If the car-dealers are behaving ‘normally’, they will have to knock down the prices of cars (hurray for me! as we need to buy one) at the expense of their profit margin and perhaps the commission of our friendly car-salespersons. Either that or the interest rates will be knocked down.
So, there. That’s what I think and ought to happen. I’d be quite surprised if it doesn’t. I don’t think the demand will be unchanged since there are already too many cars waiting (at home) to be driven by too few people in Brunei.
Next, credit cards please!
Salaam.
Showing posts with label wealth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wealth. Show all posts
Friday, 19 December 2008
Sunday, 2 November 2008
TAP
I was reading the news about TAP today and I couldn’t help doing a quick calculation on my own TAP. And I am worried. Because I don’t think I will have enough money to support myself, let alone to support my family, when I retire until I die.
With the current TAP contributions of 10 % (5%-employee & 5% employer), by the time I retire I will probably earn about $200K. Now, let’s say I live for another 20 years then my monthly retirement will be about $800. I have not taken factors such as inflation which will make the $800 have a lesser value, and Brunei-without-oil which will probably mean I need to spend more for my basic necessities such as medical care.
Oh dear. What should I do? Contribute more seems to be the suggestion.
But hang on, what about those who are earning less than me? What about those who have many children to support? Who, even now, are difficult to make ends meet. How can they possibly ‘voluntarily pay more’ in their contributions?
Anyway, I googled Singapore’s Central Provident Fund (click CPF for a quick summary) which is their TAP equivalence (but more superior). What I find very interesting is their principal behind their scheme:
I don’t know about you but the word ‘guarantee’ stands up. With their total of 30% contribution (10% employee, 20% employer) surely can make that happen. And reading further, there is a required minimum sum to be met, which at the moment is around $100K.
Now, I don’t mean to criticize and belittle anyone’s effort but we seriously need to review our TAP scheme. For a starter, I don’t see any harm in increasing the employer’s contribution. As for those who are working in SMEs, whose employers can’t make the increasing contribution, shouldn't they deserve a miniscule slice of oil income?
Salaam.
With the current TAP contributions of 10 % (5%-employee & 5% employer), by the time I retire I will probably earn about $200K. Now, let’s say I live for another 20 years then my monthly retirement will be about $800. I have not taken factors such as inflation which will make the $800 have a lesser value, and Brunei-without-oil which will probably mean I need to spend more for my basic necessities such as medical care.
Oh dear. What should I do? Contribute more seems to be the suggestion.
But hang on, what about those who are earning less than me? What about those who have many children to support? Who, even now, are difficult to make ends meet. How can they possibly ‘voluntarily pay more’ in their contributions?
Anyway, I googled Singapore’s Central Provident Fund (click CPF for a quick summary) which is their TAP equivalence (but more superior). What I find very interesting is their principal behind their scheme:
Over the years, the success of the CPF scheme has depended on values such as self-reliance, good work ethos and family support. Besides encouraging self-reliance, the various schemes underscore the members’ responsibilities as parents, children and breadwinners. The values that the CPF both promote and rely upon include: Standing on one’s own two feet. Every CPF member is encouraged to work, even beyond his retirement age. The CPF savings will guarantee him a comfortable retirement. Even those with modest savings will have enough for basic needs. This self-reliance—funding one’s own retirement instead of relying on the future generation—is a vital element of the scheme.
I don’t know about you but the word ‘guarantee’ stands up. With their total of 30% contribution (10% employee, 20% employer) surely can make that happen. And reading further, there is a required minimum sum to be met, which at the moment is around $100K.
Now, I don’t mean to criticize and belittle anyone’s effort but we seriously need to review our TAP scheme. For a starter, I don’t see any harm in increasing the employer’s contribution. As for those who are working in SMEs, whose employers can’t make the increasing contribution, shouldn't they deserve a miniscule slice of oil income?
Salaam.
Tuesday, 23 September 2008
Are We THAT Thick?
After reading the Brunei Times’ piece on ‘Mobile Phones as a symbol of social standing’, the first thought that came to my mind was just how thick we Bruneians can be. In this holy month, I know I shouldn't be having any negative thought but I’m seriously frustrated! But I honestly lost my head when I read a 36-year old civil servant admitted that “his eyes are closed when he pays for a new phone”. O Dear! What is wrong with us?!
[Let me Breathe…]
I don’t know how these people can afford to constantly buy the latest phones. But I suspect credit, be it credit card or bank loan, is the main mode of payment.
Well, I came across an article in Slate that talked about the role of credits in our everyday lives. It was interesting the way it likened credit to a leverage i.e. power that allows you lift a heavy stuff. In this case, credits make everything appear so cheap. Or another way of seeing it, without credit, things look expensive.
Don’t get me wrong, I am not totally against credit cards or even personal loans. There are times, especially when we are travelling, credit cards will come in very handy. Or for when budget is tight and your freezer suddenly dies on you, then the personal loan that is being offered in the shops, can help save your life. But to use credits just to prove that you have a high salary or to have the latest mobile phone or camera that even can rival James Bond’s is beyond me! It’s even worse if you are buying a new phone at the expense of your child’s school fee.
In these last few days of Ramadhan, I can imagine the ‘eyes-turn-blind’ shopping frenzies are at their peaks in Brunei.
This can lead to a disaster, not only to the poor (or shall I call ‘thick’) person’s life but also to the health of the economy. In fact, I believe this is also another culprit that contributes to the increasing number of claims of being ‘poor’ in Brunei.
So I say, please…… whoever or whichever authority is looking into the credit policy in Brunei, to look into this seriously. It is high time we put a credit rating system in place. What I mean is that you can’t just allow any Tom, Dick and Harry that has a blue payslip enters into a credit contract without a thorough check on his financial background.
Everyday in the news, we hear about ‘credit crunch’ happening globally that has even put those giant corporations down on their knees and even collapse. It all started from careless and inappropriate lending. Anyway, it probably is still a foreign term in Brunei, so let’s keep it that way.
Selamat Menyambut Hari Raya Aidil Fitri. Spend Wisely!
Salaam.
[Let me Breathe…]
I don’t know how these people can afford to constantly buy the latest phones. But I suspect credit, be it credit card or bank loan, is the main mode of payment.
Well, I came across an article in Slate that talked about the role of credits in our everyday lives. It was interesting the way it likened credit to a leverage i.e. power that allows you lift a heavy stuff. In this case, credits make everything appear so cheap. Or another way of seeing it, without credit, things look expensive.
Don’t get me wrong, I am not totally against credit cards or even personal loans. There are times, especially when we are travelling, credit cards will come in very handy. Or for when budget is tight and your freezer suddenly dies on you, then the personal loan that is being offered in the shops, can help save your life. But to use credits just to prove that you have a high salary or to have the latest mobile phone or camera that even can rival James Bond’s is beyond me! It’s even worse if you are buying a new phone at the expense of your child’s school fee.
In these last few days of Ramadhan, I can imagine the ‘eyes-turn-blind’ shopping frenzies are at their peaks in Brunei.
This can lead to a disaster, not only to the poor (or shall I call ‘thick’) person’s life but also to the health of the economy. In fact, I believe this is also another culprit that contributes to the increasing number of claims of being ‘poor’ in Brunei.
So I say, please…… whoever or whichever authority is looking into the credit policy in Brunei, to look into this seriously. It is high time we put a credit rating system in place. What I mean is that you can’t just allow any Tom, Dick and Harry that has a blue payslip enters into a credit contract without a thorough check on his financial background.
Everyday in the news, we hear about ‘credit crunch’ happening globally that has even put those giant corporations down on their knees and even collapse. It all started from careless and inappropriate lending. Anyway, it probably is still a foreign term in Brunei, so let’s keep it that way.
Selamat Menyambut Hari Raya Aidil Fitri. Spend Wisely!
Salaam.
Thursday, 14 August 2008
The Curses
I'd hate to think that we are cursed. Double cursed. First, there was the Curse of the Resource (in our case, oil). Now, I wonder if we also suffer from the Curse of the Third Generation as explained by Hsu Dar Ren:
Fate, Cursed or whatever you want to call it, as a Muslim I believe:
“…Surely Allah does not change the condition of a people until they change their own condition…” (Qur’an 13:11).
Salaam.
"Looking around us, we can observe that many super rich families often discover that their estate cannot survive the third generation.
The first generation often starts out poor, but through sheer hard work and thriftiness and a little bit of luck become wealthy. From being wealthy, many of them then join the class of the super rich as a result of good entrepreneurial skills and judgment. Many of them, however, remain thrifty even when they become very rich.
The second generation very often grows up during the time their parents were struggling to make their fortune. They are better educated and often will be taught by their parents to "fish" intelligently. So when the family fortune passes to their hands, many of them can still maintain the business and some even expand on it. They are, of course, less thrifty than their parents, and will often marry someone from a rich family.
However, the third generation is usually born with silver spoons in their mouths. They are generally brought up in a life of luxury. They are usually not taught how to fish but are pampered with all sorts of expensive "fish" and hobbies. Many of them are sent overseas for education, but it is not uncommon to find some of them just fooling around and living an extravagant lifestyle. They are given everything and because of that, they do not really know how to cope with difficult situations and the intricacies of the business world.
Adding to that, the family wealth inevitably gets diluted among the more numerous siblings in the 2nd and 3rd generations, especially when these generations are unable to do much to expand the family businesses.
So, the wealth that was passed down just withers away. This is commonly known as the Curse of the Third Generation".
Fate, Cursed or whatever you want to call it, as a Muslim I believe:
“…Surely Allah does not change the condition of a people until they change their own condition…” (Qur’an 13:11).
Salaam.
Friday, 1 August 2008
Are We Poor OR Are We Stupid?
It is sad to see and hear about the events happening in
The question, as rightly put by Mr. Brunei Resources, is “What Happened to Bruneians?”
Now, there are 2 schools of thoughts. One says that it is simply because we are poorer and the other says we are too materialistic that we don’t even know how to differentiate between what is right and what is wrong i.e we are stupid.
Unfortunately, we can never truly find out until a proper income gap analysis is carried out. It is imperative that we know how many Bruneians are poor, how poor and why they are poor. Without such analysis, then we can never know and we will only end up having the rich blaming the poor (of being immoral and shameless) and the poor blaming the system (of unfairness).
While I do not doubt the existence of those who are genuinely poor, I also believe that the pool of poor people in
Now, if I were an economic advisor to
- Get our statistics and figure right. We NEED to know our poverty statistics A.S.A.P.
- If the finding (whether this is made public or otherwise) is that there are indeed a large number of poor people in
- Lifting people off poverty does not simply mean giving them money. We need to be creative in giving them the means to make money. True, this is easier said than done given the unfortunate attitude of some (most?) of Bruneians who more than many times do not see the rationale behind the self-aid help. But with proper monitoring and perhaps some taught management skill, I’m sure there will be some positive results. The key is for the relevant agency to NOT to give-up. Don’t let one bad apple ruins the whole basket.
- It is time to differentiate the different types of goods available in the market. There are the luxurious and there are the normal ones. The problem in
- A credit monitoring system needs to be put in place. I cannot just go to any store and sign any credit agreement without a thorough check of my credit rating.
- It is time to review the TAP contribution. There is a need to increase the contribution from the employees. We need to make sure Bruneians save for their own future. And of course, since Brunei coffer by now must have filled with a lot of oil money, I would also say that the government needs also to increase its contribution into TAP not only into the account of those in the public sector but also to Bruneians in the private sector. Afterall, the money is saved for the future. This contribution from the government I believe could be the key to reduce the remuneration gap between the public-private sectors. It would help increase the attractiveness of the private sector and would (hopefully) alleviate the problem of lazy Bruneians who would rather be unemployed than do manual job.
- We need also to look at our system of income re-distribution. How do we re-distribute the income from the rich to the poor. While income tax may not be accepted in the near future, property tax certainly deserves some high level discussion now.
- I don’t know how good our police force or those in the NCB are in combating drug wars, but I pray with all my heart for them to be really good.
- Finally, I think too much subsidy make people too lazy.
Salaam.
Sunday, 27 July 2008
A Blessing in Disguise, right?
These days almost on daily basis we read about the impending recession that will happen in the
Then I thought are we lucky or what? This is what I think, for some blessing-in-disguise sort of luckiness, all of the world events may probably have little effects on us. Thanks to oil, we have not been producing anything else which means we will not be affected by the fall in world demand of anything, well..except oil. As long as oil price goes up, then we haven’t got anything to complain. Our economy will continue its growth. Our inflation stays low (thanks also to oil money that have been used to subsidise our cost of living). And if there will be a recession, we will actually stand to gain. A world recession will push the prices of all goods (including food) downward. Since we import almost ALL of our needs, then we can continue not producing anything and buy from abroad, which in fact will become cheaper.
And then we all can continue growing… without development.
And of course, if only oil never runs dry.
Salaam.
Sunday, 13 July 2008
Life After Oil
I was reading the post made by Brunei Resources on ‘Life Without Oil’. He suggested that Brunei should either decrease government spending and/or increase our tax base, which in economics term is what we call ‘contractionary fiscal policy’. This policy is usually applicable to an economy that has a budget surplus, which thanks to the soaring oil price, is actually the case for Brunei. But if you take the oil effect, Brunei’s budget will not be as handsome as it is today.
The effect of a contractionary fiscal policy will be a reduction in the aggregate demand which is not exactly the right prescription for a country that has little economic activities. Having said that however does not mean that the government should just spend all its income. It should be mindful of what it is it’s spending on. What we want is productive spending (and I agree with Mr. BR, this does not include subsidy). Spending that can stimulate the non-oil economy. And we want lots of this. Being a small economy (defined as having a small population) is not without its problem. And for that reason I personally think we need a strong government support (while it is still able) to help the economy as much as it can.
But the question of life after oil is still unanswered.
To answer this, we need Ricardian’s Theory of Comparative Advantage which says that we should produce and specialize in the production or services in which we have comparative advantage. What? You may ask. I say, look around us. We are so fortunate to have plenty of sun, land and sea, which I believe are extremely under-utilized. With a bit of hard work, I’m sure Brunei can develop its comparative advantage. If Singapore, an island that has an extremely limited natural resource can become one of the Asian’s dragons or Liechtenstein with a population of about 34,000 people and equally has a limited amount of natural resources can become one of the highly industrialising economies, then so can Brunei!
Life without oil will not be the end of the world as long as we do something about it. And we should start NOW. The current generation must help the future generation in the transition of oil to non-oil economy. Any ‘rentier’ habit has to be removed from the current system and the mindset of all Bruneians. With the right attitude, the right mind and the right policy Brunei could and should thrive. There must also be a strong will both from the government and the people and of course, some hard work too.
Salaam.
The effect of a contractionary fiscal policy will be a reduction in the aggregate demand which is not exactly the right prescription for a country that has little economic activities. Having said that however does not mean that the government should just spend all its income. It should be mindful of what it is it’s spending on. What we want is productive spending (and I agree with Mr. BR, this does not include subsidy). Spending that can stimulate the non-oil economy. And we want lots of this. Being a small economy (defined as having a small population) is not without its problem. And for that reason I personally think we need a strong government support (while it is still able) to help the economy as much as it can.
But the question of life after oil is still unanswered.
To answer this, we need Ricardian’s Theory of Comparative Advantage which says that we should produce and specialize in the production or services in which we have comparative advantage. What? You may ask. I say, look around us. We are so fortunate to have plenty of sun, land and sea, which I believe are extremely under-utilized. With a bit of hard work, I’m sure Brunei can develop its comparative advantage. If Singapore, an island that has an extremely limited natural resource can become one of the Asian’s dragons or Liechtenstein with a population of about 34,000 people and equally has a limited amount of natural resources can become one of the highly industrialising economies, then so can Brunei!
Life without oil will not be the end of the world as long as we do something about it. And we should start NOW. The current generation must help the future generation in the transition of oil to non-oil economy. Any ‘rentier’ habit has to be removed from the current system and the mindset of all Bruneians. With the right attitude, the right mind and the right policy Brunei could and should thrive. There must also be a strong will both from the government and the people and of course, some hard work too.
Salaam.
Wednesday, 2 July 2008
Saturday, 26 April 2008
Banks and Investment
The Minister of Finance II said:
However, I cannot help feeling envious towards Malaysia which has the SME Bank or Thailand which also has its own SME Development Bank (which incidently are the subsidiaries of their respective Finance Ministries) to look (solely) after their SMEs' development needs.
Salaam.
"The banking industry, in this country today, sits on over $13 billion in
public deposits, much of which invariably end up being invested offshore and
as these deposits represent a vital capital resource of the country, ideally
it should be deployed for the country's benefit"
I absolutely agree with him! And I also support his encouragement for the financial institutions to:
(here for full news)"...shift towards corporate lending and investment banking and wealth management
and other fee-based activities would be heeded and responded to not just in
letter but also in spirit by all financial institutions in the country."
However, I cannot help feeling envious towards Malaysia which has the SME Bank or Thailand which also has its own SME Development Bank (which incidently are the subsidiaries of their respective Finance Ministries) to look (solely) after their SMEs' development needs.
Salaam.
Friday, 25 April 2008
Big Salary, Enough Salary?
Today, thousands of teachers in the UK went on strike and as a result thousands of schools were closed, forcing millions of parents to look for alternative daycare for their children. Thankfully, my children's school didn't participate so school was normal for them.
Today was the teachers. Previously, the university lecturers, the postmen/women and the policemen/women also went on strike due to dispute over pay rise.
I'm thankful that no such incidence has ever happened in Brunei. I cannot imagine the reaction from our government :). But then the pay and perks in the government sector are higher compared to the private sector. Whether or not the current salary scales are appropriate (i.e. taking into account the inflation growth rates over the years) is however another question. I can see the dilemma our government would be facing if the current wage rates are found to be below the appropriate rates. If it raises the scale, it will further widen the public-private wage gap.
Don't take me wrong. I'm not asking for a pay rise. But I think it is unavoidable and equally necessary for some sort of study on the appropriateness of the current salary scale to be carried out especially in the light of poverty reduction. The results will not only be used to aid the poverty alleviation policy but will also be useful in other policies and most of all will be very, very interesting (at least to me!).
Salaam.
Today was the teachers. Previously, the university lecturers, the postmen/women and the policemen/women also went on strike due to dispute over pay rise.
I'm thankful that no such incidence has ever happened in Brunei. I cannot imagine the reaction from our government :). But then the pay and perks in the government sector are higher compared to the private sector. Whether or not the current salary scales are appropriate (i.e. taking into account the inflation growth rates over the years) is however another question. I can see the dilemma our government would be facing if the current wage rates are found to be below the appropriate rates. If it raises the scale, it will further widen the public-private wage gap.
Don't take me wrong. I'm not asking for a pay rise. But I think it is unavoidable and equally necessary for some sort of study on the appropriateness of the current salary scale to be carried out especially in the light of poverty reduction. The results will not only be used to aid the poverty alleviation policy but will also be useful in other policies and most of all will be very, very interesting (at least to me!).
Salaam.
Sunday, 23 March 2008
The Dilemma of SME Part 2
Other issues faced by the SMEs in Brunei are the small market size and the lack of production incentives. With our population of about 380,000 really does not make Brunei an attractive place for any production or businesses. The small market size is further aggravated by cheap competition from import and high local cost.
Of course, somebody would reply that Brunei's SMEs should not limit themselves to the domestic demand and therefore should explore the regional and even the world market. True. But in truth that is easier said than done. Heeks (1998) in his paper (click here) pointed a number of related problems. First, he pointed that Brunei is an island of wealth in the sea of local poverty, at least in Borneo island itself. But it is also true in the context of ASEAN. Brunei is the second wealthiest country after Singapore (measured by the GDP per capita) which is followed by Malaysia and then Thailand. The remaining ASEAN countries are all earning less than US$1000 per capita – they hardly can become our potential markets! Second, where regional markets exist, someone has got there first, producing high quality products at low cost, thus presenting entry barriers to new-comers especially, one that lacks competitiveness.
Now, I’m not trying to be negative but sometimes we have to be realistic. I believe, in order for our local (and weak) SMEs to take their chance in the regional market, let alone the global market, they need assistance. For example, they need to know just what types of products to produce (for e.g. products that have high import growth rates in the global market) given their capabilities. And then of course they will also need (continuous) help in the area of capacity building to increase the products’ competitiveness especially in terms of the quality. Now, my question is, have we got these in place?
OK before we go further into the discussion of providing supports for export-production, let’s first look at the supports for local production. What incentives are we giving to the local producers? You would probably be thinking of the recently reduced corporate tax. Is that enough? The corporate tax, first of all, is not payable by sole proprietorships, which makes up a large chunk of our private sector. And then there is the ‘pioneer status’ scheme, but then again does it apply to a large number of our local SMEs? Correct me if I’m wrong but I think both the corporate tax and the pioneer status scheme are more directed towards the attraction of foreign investors (which I am in support of!). Now, my question again, what then are the incentives we are giving to the local small and medium enterprises? Our SMEs don’t even have complete access to crucial information such as market demand, input costs, availability of sources of production so on and so forth! And so how do we expect our local SMEs to go abroad and compete when they are not even developed domestically.
Now, back to the issue of the small domestic market. How do we then overcome this problem? At the top of my head, we can do this in 2 ways. One, through the natural population increase, which would take AGES! And two, through migration. OK, maybe in our case, not migration per se but we need to find ways to attract foreigners to come and spend in the country. How? One, we need to increase the number of tourists coming to Brunei. The tourism department, from the looks of it, is putting a lot of effort into this. [It’s ashamed really, that the apparent lack of policy co-ordination among other departments somehow weakens the effort (perhaps another post on this one)]. Two, we can attract foreigners who have high purchasing power to come and stay in Brunei. Brunei, being a tax haven has already 'the' appealing factor for anyone to come and live in the country :). However, there is a larger policy implication which is related to another policy taboo – land and property foreign ownership. Now, I’m no expert on this but personally I don’t really see the harm in allowing foreigners, who can make ‘economic contributions’ to purchase properties for the sole purpose of occupation (see for example how Singapore is doing it). Just imagine the spin-off effects of this policy! We can expect a boom in the housing sector and the construction industry, and then of course, the increase in the demand for ALL goods and services which will have the desired direct effect on our local SMEs. Oh I can picture a shift in the aggregate demand for Brunei! (And only then we can seriously talk about providing world-class services be it in education, health etc..)
Oh dear, there’s so much to think of! I do hope I am NOT the only one thinking about this. And while thinking is good, but please for the love of Brunei, DO something about it. I will probably write more on this topic.
Salaam.
Of course, somebody would reply that Brunei's SMEs should not limit themselves to the domestic demand and therefore should explore the regional and even the world market. True. But in truth that is easier said than done. Heeks (1998) in his paper (click here) pointed a number of related problems. First, he pointed that Brunei is an island of wealth in the sea of local poverty, at least in Borneo island itself. But it is also true in the context of ASEAN. Brunei is the second wealthiest country after Singapore (measured by the GDP per capita) which is followed by Malaysia and then Thailand. The remaining ASEAN countries are all earning less than US$1000 per capita – they hardly can become our potential markets! Second, where regional markets exist, someone has got there first, producing high quality products at low cost, thus presenting entry barriers to new-comers especially, one that lacks competitiveness.
Now, I’m not trying to be negative but sometimes we have to be realistic. I believe, in order for our local (and weak) SMEs to take their chance in the regional market, let alone the global market, they need assistance. For example, they need to know just what types of products to produce (for e.g. products that have high import growth rates in the global market) given their capabilities. And then of course they will also need (continuous) help in the area of capacity building to increase the products’ competitiveness especially in terms of the quality. Now, my question is, have we got these in place?
OK before we go further into the discussion of providing supports for export-production, let’s first look at the supports for local production. What incentives are we giving to the local producers? You would probably be thinking of the recently reduced corporate tax. Is that enough? The corporate tax, first of all, is not payable by sole proprietorships, which makes up a large chunk of our private sector. And then there is the ‘pioneer status’ scheme, but then again does it apply to a large number of our local SMEs? Correct me if I’m wrong but I think both the corporate tax and the pioneer status scheme are more directed towards the attraction of foreign investors (which I am in support of!). Now, my question again, what then are the incentives we are giving to the local small and medium enterprises? Our SMEs don’t even have complete access to crucial information such as market demand, input costs, availability of sources of production so on and so forth! And so how do we expect our local SMEs to go abroad and compete when they are not even developed domestically.
Now, back to the issue of the small domestic market. How do we then overcome this problem? At the top of my head, we can do this in 2 ways. One, through the natural population increase, which would take AGES! And two, through migration. OK, maybe in our case, not migration per se but we need to find ways to attract foreigners to come and spend in the country. How? One, we need to increase the number of tourists coming to Brunei. The tourism department, from the looks of it, is putting a lot of effort into this. [It’s ashamed really, that the apparent lack of policy co-ordination among other departments somehow weakens the effort (perhaps another post on this one)]. Two, we can attract foreigners who have high purchasing power to come and stay in Brunei. Brunei, being a tax haven has already 'the' appealing factor for anyone to come and live in the country :). However, there is a larger policy implication which is related to another policy taboo – land and property foreign ownership. Now, I’m no expert on this but personally I don’t really see the harm in allowing foreigners, who can make ‘economic contributions’ to purchase properties for the sole purpose of occupation (see for example how Singapore is doing it). Just imagine the spin-off effects of this policy! We can expect a boom in the housing sector and the construction industry, and then of course, the increase in the demand for ALL goods and services which will have the desired direct effect on our local SMEs. Oh I can picture a shift in the aggregate demand for Brunei! (And only then we can seriously talk about providing world-class services be it in education, health etc..)
Oh dear, there’s so much to think of! I do hope I am NOT the only one thinking about this. And while thinking is good, but please for the love of Brunei, DO something about it. I will probably write more on this topic.
Salaam.
Sunday, 16 March 2008
The Dilemma of SME Part 1
I’ve wanted to write something about SMEs in Brunei because this is another topic which I feel has not been properly addressed and where (again) policies and solutions offered are not coordinated.
I agree that the government has been very supportive in the development of SMEs but I am not convinced with the effectiveness of the given supports. Let’s go back to 30 years ago when Brunei started a SME Loan scheme for Malay citizens in the mid 1970s, known as the EDB scheme which unfortunately did not result in many success stories.
The failure of the EDB scheme to create many SMEs is mainly because it wasn’t participated by the intended recipients. (More than 65% of the loan went to non-entrepreneurs for buildings of houses which were mainly for rentals – not exactly the type of business we are looking for). Why? This is mainly because the EDB required collateral which could not be provided by any would-be genuine entrepreneur who didn’t have the means to do so. And as a result the only group that was able to apply for the loan was mostly those in the government sector, who were NOT trained to be risk-takers and to become genuine entrepreneurs.
Fast forward to today. The EDB scheme is now being replaced by a few financing schemes offered by the Ministry of Industry and Primary Resources through the Brunei Islamic Bank. While the new schemes may no longer be utilized to build rental houses, yet they pose the same constraint (or perhaps even more strict) to Brunei start-ups – the need to provide some forms of collateral in order to participate in the schemes. Well, of course I don’t expect for the money to be distributed freely to anyone who claims to be an entrepreneur but I am also positive that there are Bruneians out there who really have some viable business ideas but do not have the means to meet the banks’ strict loan scrutiny. So, where can they go for help?
This issue of the lack of availability of credits to genuine entrepreneurs and/or if you think in the reverse order, the availability of credits to non-genuine entrepreneurs to me is very much related to the issue of the wide-emerging of ‘Ali-Baba’ businesses. It works in 2 ways. On the one hand, those who are able to obtain the loans, who are mostly government servants, create businesses under the names of their wives/husbands/children while the business itself is run by some foreigners. On the other hand, those who are not able to obtain any loan seek some foreign external investors, and this coupled with the lack of proper business direction and experience, eventually results in the formation of ‘Ali Baba’ firms. This partly explains why despite the growing number of SMEs over the years, the number of success stories is paltry.
Of course the issue of ‘Ali Baba’ businesses is, to a large extent, attributable to the attitude (laziness) and the mentality of our own people (easy money). I personally feel the government’s effort in developing ‘local rakyat melayu Brunei’ to be the champions in the business sector has backfired. Despite all local privileges and the policy of local contents in almost all government projects, the locals still have not changed their position. It makes me wonder whether the very reason Brunei locals have not developed in the business sector compared to non-locals, is due to the over-protectiveness of our policies (all sorts of policies! e.g. land policy, local content, public sector jobs etc.) towards the Brunei locals. How? Those who are excluded from such ‘privilege’ policies have to work for their survivals. To most of them, forming a business IS an economic necessity. This however is not the case for the local Brunei, who have always been pampered and secured with high-paying jobs. And at the same time, those non-locals who see some business opportunities but are not in the position of setting up their own proper businesses seek the locals who are more than willing to lend their names in exchange for some business equity.
This is the real dilemma and poses a challenge to policy formulation. On the one hand, we want to help the locals. On the other hand, how can we ensure that the locals will not abuse any new given support? Nevertheless, Brunei can no longer wait and see and hope for the best. Brunei is not as it was 30 years ago. Brunei NEEDS to diversify its economy and strengthen its private sector. And the private sector needs help.
Anyway, going back to the issue of obtaining start-up credits, I personally think that Brunei should explore the idea of ‘angel investors’ or the provision of ‘seed money’ to new entrepreneurs who have no means to adhere to the collateral requirements of the existing financing schemes. Of course the risk is high but as the saying goes, No Pain No Gain! And if the government is not ready to take the risk, then how can we expect the people to take similar risk?
And at the same time, the issue of ‘Ali Baba’ businesses need to be tacked ASAP. It is simply an economic disease that needs a remedy. I must admit, it is not an easy task as it involves the changing of attitude and mindset and also requires a strong coordination from different government departments. However, as long as the mentality of ‘easy money’ exists among the locals, no matter how sophisticated the supports to local SMEs are, Brunei’s hope to create local businesses may just remain a non-achievable long-term economic goal.
I will write more on SME-related issues. In the meantime, I welcome views from everyone.
Salaam.
I agree that the government has been very supportive in the development of SMEs but I am not convinced with the effectiveness of the given supports. Let’s go back to 30 years ago when Brunei started a SME Loan scheme for Malay citizens in the mid 1970s, known as the EDB scheme which unfortunately did not result in many success stories.
The failure of the EDB scheme to create many SMEs is mainly because it wasn’t participated by the intended recipients. (More than 65% of the loan went to non-entrepreneurs for buildings of houses which were mainly for rentals – not exactly the type of business we are looking for). Why? This is mainly because the EDB required collateral which could not be provided by any would-be genuine entrepreneur who didn’t have the means to do so. And as a result the only group that was able to apply for the loan was mostly those in the government sector, who were NOT trained to be risk-takers and to become genuine entrepreneurs.
Fast forward to today. The EDB scheme is now being replaced by a few financing schemes offered by the Ministry of Industry and Primary Resources through the Brunei Islamic Bank. While the new schemes may no longer be utilized to build rental houses, yet they pose the same constraint (or perhaps even more strict) to Brunei start-ups – the need to provide some forms of collateral in order to participate in the schemes. Well, of course I don’t expect for the money to be distributed freely to anyone who claims to be an entrepreneur but I am also positive that there are Bruneians out there who really have some viable business ideas but do not have the means to meet the banks’ strict loan scrutiny. So, where can they go for help?
This issue of the lack of availability of credits to genuine entrepreneurs and/or if you think in the reverse order, the availability of credits to non-genuine entrepreneurs to me is very much related to the issue of the wide-emerging of ‘Ali-Baba’ businesses. It works in 2 ways. On the one hand, those who are able to obtain the loans, who are mostly government servants, create businesses under the names of their wives/husbands/children while the business itself is run by some foreigners. On the other hand, those who are not able to obtain any loan seek some foreign external investors, and this coupled with the lack of proper business direction and experience, eventually results in the formation of ‘Ali Baba’ firms. This partly explains why despite the growing number of SMEs over the years, the number of success stories is paltry.
Of course the issue of ‘Ali Baba’ businesses is, to a large extent, attributable to the attitude (laziness) and the mentality of our own people (easy money). I personally feel the government’s effort in developing ‘local rakyat melayu Brunei’ to be the champions in the business sector has backfired. Despite all local privileges and the policy of local contents in almost all government projects, the locals still have not changed their position. It makes me wonder whether the very reason Brunei locals have not developed in the business sector compared to non-locals, is due to the over-protectiveness of our policies (all sorts of policies! e.g. land policy, local content, public sector jobs etc.) towards the Brunei locals. How? Those who are excluded from such ‘privilege’ policies have to work for their survivals. To most of them, forming a business IS an economic necessity. This however is not the case for the local Brunei, who have always been pampered and secured with high-paying jobs. And at the same time, those non-locals who see some business opportunities but are not in the position of setting up their own proper businesses seek the locals who are more than willing to lend their names in exchange for some business equity.
This is the real dilemma and poses a challenge to policy formulation. On the one hand, we want to help the locals. On the other hand, how can we ensure that the locals will not abuse any new given support? Nevertheless, Brunei can no longer wait and see and hope for the best. Brunei is not as it was 30 years ago. Brunei NEEDS to diversify its economy and strengthen its private sector. And the private sector needs help.
Anyway, going back to the issue of obtaining start-up credits, I personally think that Brunei should explore the idea of ‘angel investors’ or the provision of ‘seed money’ to new entrepreneurs who have no means to adhere to the collateral requirements of the existing financing schemes. Of course the risk is high but as the saying goes, No Pain No Gain! And if the government is not ready to take the risk, then how can we expect the people to take similar risk?
And at the same time, the issue of ‘Ali Baba’ businesses need to be tacked ASAP. It is simply an economic disease that needs a remedy. I must admit, it is not an easy task as it involves the changing of attitude and mindset and also requires a strong coordination from different government departments. However, as long as the mentality of ‘easy money’ exists among the locals, no matter how sophisticated the supports to local SMEs are, Brunei’s hope to create local businesses may just remain a non-achievable long-term economic goal.
I will write more on SME-related issues. In the meantime, I welcome views from everyone.
Salaam.
Thursday, 13 March 2008
Leg Co: ..On POVERTY
I'm surprised, well actually not surprised that the issue of poverty was not heavily debated, despite HM's titah on the vision of zero poverty. Honestly, I feel really sad to hear that this issue will be tackled by yet ANOTHER poverty research. I mean, seriously... how much research do we need to prove that there ARE poor people in this rich country! And what is wrong with the research made by the UBD? Do we need to waste 3, 4, 5 more years and spend millions just to prove that there is no poverty in Brunei? I've heard about this poverty research like almost 10 years ago (if I remember, it was the year I started my first job) and until today I have not seen any national poverty-related policies besides the MUIB's zakat payment. And if there are recipients of Zakat, then surely there must be poverty..what more proof do we need?
People talk about absolute poverty vs relative poverty. For those who are not familiar with those terms, 'absolute poverty' is basically the number of people or households who cannot afford certain basic goods and services, while 'relative poverty' refers to the number of households (or families if you like) whose income falls below the national average income. So, a family of 6, earning only about $1200 a month definitely falls under the category of 'relative poverty'. They may probably able to buy the basic necessities with that income but that income surely must be below our median income.
If you ask me, I don't know what our median income is, but I suspect for a rich country like us, it should be quite high. So, my question is do we really need another research just to determine our median income? Or should we put our heads together to combat poverty NOW before it gets worse. I feel what Brunei needs actually is to form a serious national committee to address this issue.
Anyway, I don't know about you, but to me poverty issue shouldn't be under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Culture Youth and Sports alone or poverty is not all about giving welfare benefits. It needs to be addressed in a holistic manner. The fundamental issue is the gap between the rich and the poor. An increasing relative poverty means that there is an unequal distribution of income i.e. there is a large gap between the rich and the poor. Therefore our main challenge is to reduce this gap, because to me income equality = zero poverty.
This should be debated. The ways and means to reduce the gap. It is not about getting salary increments (because to me that in itself will actually result in a higher gap. Why? Because not all of the poors are employed in the government sector) it is more about formulating policies that specifically deal with the poors. For example, the national housing scheme. There should be a separate policy or separate queue (if you are trying to picture it in your head) for those who fall under the category of 'relative poverty' with its own separate terms and conditions, and prices (or no price at all!)
What about subsidies and taxes? These have been the traditional means of income redistribution. Surely, it is high time Brunei reviews its subsidies. Should those who are earning above the median income level pay the same subsidised price of rice as those earning below the median income? Now, there seems to be a serious talk about the irresponsibility of our people (who presumably think that electricity and water are their God's given rights and think that electricity probably comes from air) in paying the utility bills which is costly to the government (see here). If our people continue to be thick-headed and the government decides to reduce the various utility subsidies, then what about the poors? Now, taxes....well this is THE number one taboo in Brunei. But let's start with some form of property taxes. Number 1: tax on rental properties (to help finance the national housing scheme for the poors).
And then there is the related issue of unemployment. I wrote about this in the last post. I don't know how to further express myself but this issue NEEDS to be addressed properly. If the government can no longer afford to provide full employments in the public sector, then whether we like it or not, the government needs to do something about the wage gap because unemployment can cause poverty.
What about education? Yes, we do have the 12 year education policy, but my question is does this cover EVERYone? I'm thinking about those teenagers who got pregnant/married before they finish their 12 year education. How can we help them? How do we expect them to provide for their children if they don't have enough education. Won't it contribute to the poverty spiral?
There are more to think of! Such as how do we help the poors get out of their poverty condition? You know more in the lines of Give-a-man-a-fish-and-you-feed-him-for-a-day, Teach-a-man-to-fish-you-feed-him-a-lifetime.
Oh dear, it's almost midnight. I was supposed to have a break from 'thinking' today after submitting a chapter to my supervisor :) Anyway, the whole point of this post is to actually implore the relevant government agencies to STOP wasting time and resources 'wondering' whether or not we have poverty. Whatever poverty we have now, I think should still be manageable. So please don't wait until it gets too late.
Salaam.
People talk about absolute poverty vs relative poverty. For those who are not familiar with those terms, 'absolute poverty' is basically the number of people or households who cannot afford certain basic goods and services, while 'relative poverty' refers to the number of households (or families if you like) whose income falls below the national average income. So, a family of 6, earning only about $1200 a month definitely falls under the category of 'relative poverty'. They may probably able to buy the basic necessities with that income but that income surely must be below our median income.
If you ask me, I don't know what our median income is, but I suspect for a rich country like us, it should be quite high. So, my question is do we really need another research just to determine our median income? Or should we put our heads together to combat poverty NOW before it gets worse. I feel what Brunei needs actually is to form a serious national committee to address this issue.
Anyway, I don't know about you, but to me poverty issue shouldn't be under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Culture Youth and Sports alone or poverty is not all about giving welfare benefits. It needs to be addressed in a holistic manner. The fundamental issue is the gap between the rich and the poor. An increasing relative poverty means that there is an unequal distribution of income i.e. there is a large gap between the rich and the poor. Therefore our main challenge is to reduce this gap, because to me income equality = zero poverty.
This should be debated. The ways and means to reduce the gap. It is not about getting salary increments (because to me that in itself will actually result in a higher gap. Why? Because not all of the poors are employed in the government sector) it is more about formulating policies that specifically deal with the poors. For example, the national housing scheme. There should be a separate policy or separate queue (if you are trying to picture it in your head) for those who fall under the category of 'relative poverty' with its own separate terms and conditions, and prices (or no price at all!)
What about subsidies and taxes? These have been the traditional means of income redistribution. Surely, it is high time Brunei reviews its subsidies. Should those who are earning above the median income level pay the same subsidised price of rice as those earning below the median income? Now, there seems to be a serious talk about the irresponsibility of our people (who presumably think that electricity and water are their God's given rights and think that electricity probably comes from air) in paying the utility bills which is costly to the government (see here). If our people continue to be thick-headed and the government decides to reduce the various utility subsidies, then what about the poors? Now, taxes....well this is THE number one taboo in Brunei. But let's start with some form of property taxes. Number 1: tax on rental properties (to help finance the national housing scheme for the poors).
And then there is the related issue of unemployment. I wrote about this in the last post. I don't know how to further express myself but this issue NEEDS to be addressed properly. If the government can no longer afford to provide full employments in the public sector, then whether we like it or not, the government needs to do something about the wage gap because unemployment can cause poverty.
What about education? Yes, we do have the 12 year education policy, but my question is does this cover EVERYone? I'm thinking about those teenagers who got pregnant/married before they finish their 12 year education. How can we help them? How do we expect them to provide for their children if they don't have enough education. Won't it contribute to the poverty spiral?
There are more to think of! Such as how do we help the poors get out of their poverty condition? You know more in the lines of Give-a-man-a-fish-and-you-feed-him-for-a-day, Teach-a-man-to-fish-you-feed-him-a-lifetime.
Oh dear, it's almost midnight. I was supposed to have a break from 'thinking' today after submitting a chapter to my supervisor :) Anyway, the whole point of this post is to actually implore the relevant government agencies to STOP wasting time and resources 'wondering' whether or not we have poverty. Whatever poverty we have now, I think should still be manageable. So please don't wait until it gets too late.
Salaam.
Friday, 22 February 2008
So You Think You Can be like Dubai?
"My Grandfather rode a camel, my father rode a camel, I drive a Mercedes, my son drives a Land Rover, his son will drive a Land Rover, but his son will ride a camel"
Sheikh Rashid, the previous ruler of Dubai.
Well, a couple of years back (actually for all I know, we still think we can be like Dubai) there were talks about following Dubai's model to development. Nothing wrong with that - as long as we talk, the talk and walk, the walk. Anyway, I found this interesting Harvard paper 'Dubai Strategy: Past, Present and Future' which to me gives a good crash course on Dubai's development. Have a read, it's only about 9 pages long (minus the graphs) but really it tells the goods and the bads, which can be very interesting lessons.
Salaam.
P.S. Thank you all for your comments/views on my previous posts. I will get back to them once I've handed my chapter to my supervisor.
Sunday, 17 February 2008
Which Bank? - Reply to Anonymous
I received this comment/question in my previous post. At first I just wanted to reply in the comment box but as I was typing, my reply got longer haha! So, I've decided to put this as today's post. The person has also gathered some information about banks in Brunei which I feel could be useful to those who are in the same situation as hers/his.
Hello Anonymous,
Thanks for regularly visiting this blog.With regard to your banking question, Gosh I don't know what to say really. I'm no expert to say one bank is better than the other (unless they pay me to hahaha) because each bank has its own services, charges etc.
Anyway, I think you have done your homework (i.e. comparing bank charges etc) and now what you need to think about is what services of a bank that you are looking for. Is it just for an everyday banking (where you can deposit/withdraw money at any time of the day) or is it for a long-term saving (such as time or fixed deposit)as dif banks have dif products.
Personally, I put my money in a few banks in Brunei. NOT because I'm rich (hehehe who knows one day?) but because of the different services. For instance, my gaji and my everyday banking is in 1 local bank (which has many ATM machines located in convenient places). For my regular saving I use another local bank which offers a better return than the first bank and also gives me freedom to withdraw the money whenever I want (unlike some local banks which require you to write a letter etc). For our time/fixed deposit we (my husband and I) use another bank which obviously offers the most competitive rate and islamic. And lastly, because I travel a few times in a year, it gives me a peace of mind to have a bank that I can access to wherever in the world. So I use 1 international bank which gives me this service (of course with a cost/fee). So, there you go!. 4 banks in all and I'm not even remotely close to being a millionaire hehehe.
With regard to my opinion of the banking service in Brunei, well I've had my shares of good/bad experiences and let's say generally I concur with the general opinion that banks= money leechers HAHAHA. But I tell you, with wit and proper research, you can beat these banks at their own game! The Rule of the Thumb however is to try NOT to borrow money from them. Or even if you have to (eg. credit card) you MUST always pay what you owe ON TIME.
I must say you all are very lucky that you don't get to be tangled up in a big-bad borrowing situation. Thanks to the government's directive on personal loan capping introduced a few years back. I tell you, it WAS madness! People were borrowing beyond their means the moment they were employed (in the government sector of course). And those borrowed money were spent mostly on some unnecessary items such as big, expensive cars and large and lavish weddings. (If there are people out there who borrowed for some worthy cause, then I respect.) They were even some idiots (sorry but I HAVE to use that word) who borrowed at 9% interest rate and put those money back in the bank in a form of fixed deposit which only had about 3-5% return. I mean HOW did these people think, is still beyond my comprehension!
Anyway, good luck with your new job and finding a good bank. And thanks again for reading this blog. My hope is that something good would come out of it. I never intend to belittle anyone. I just hope we Bruneians get to think before we do something that sometimes can be life-altering. Haha look I've become emotional!
Salaam.
P.S Anyone working in the banks are WELCOMED to sell their services *wink*
Which bank do you feel offers the best service here in Brunei? I just
started working and have been using the bank (TAIB) that my parents have
allocated - which is basically the normal you get the card - passbook, withdraw
your money but non-interest being accredited if I'm not mistaken.I realised, the
non-abundance of ATM machines available for TAIB which annoyed me to some extent especially when the nearest TAIB ATM machine has been out of cash. So I started to think about the competition, and did some research of my own by getting the tariff of charges, services offered through each banks' website. I found out that HSBC and Baiduri Bank have the most ATM machines here in Brunei. But then again when I check the tariffs/service charges for HSBC, it is shockingly steep!
Just having an ATM card is BND 20 per year, and if your balance falls below the
minimum thats another charge. Standard Chartered offers considerably less, with
BND 12 per year for the ATM card. Baiduri Bank however did not disclose their
tariffs/service charges - sometimes it makes me wonder if that is why they have
been cited as the "Bank of the Year" by the Banker's magazine. "Bank of the
Year" in this context is which Bank gets the most profits in the country -
typically from ATM charges, services charges and foreign exchanges transactions
- possibly from Investments, I'm not quite sure. Should I just stick to TAIB
Bank, no-frills account with the free ATM card, no penalties whatsoever for
having only the minimum balance? I would be happy to know your views - it could be insightful to read.
Hello Anonymous,
Thanks for regularly visiting this blog.With regard to your banking question, Gosh I don't know what to say really. I'm no expert to say one bank is better than the other (unless they pay me to hahaha) because each bank has its own services, charges etc.
Anyway, I think you have done your homework (i.e. comparing bank charges etc) and now what you need to think about is what services of a bank that you are looking for. Is it just for an everyday banking (where you can deposit/withdraw money at any time of the day) or is it for a long-term saving (such as time or fixed deposit)as dif banks have dif products.
Personally, I put my money in a few banks in Brunei. NOT because I'm rich (hehehe who knows one day?) but because of the different services. For instance, my gaji and my everyday banking is in 1 local bank (which has many ATM machines located in convenient places). For my regular saving I use another local bank which offers a better return than the first bank and also gives me freedom to withdraw the money whenever I want (unlike some local banks which require you to write a letter etc). For our time/fixed deposit we (my husband and I) use another bank which obviously offers the most competitive rate and islamic. And lastly, because I travel a few times in a year, it gives me a peace of mind to have a bank that I can access to wherever in the world. So I use 1 international bank which gives me this service (of course with a cost/fee). So, there you go!. 4 banks in all and I'm not even remotely close to being a millionaire hehehe.
With regard to my opinion of the banking service in Brunei, well I've had my shares of good/bad experiences and let's say generally I concur with the general opinion that banks= money leechers HAHAHA. But I tell you, with wit and proper research, you can beat these banks at their own game! The Rule of the Thumb however is to try NOT to borrow money from them. Or even if you have to (eg. credit card) you MUST always pay what you owe ON TIME.
I must say you all are very lucky that you don't get to be tangled up in a big-bad borrowing situation. Thanks to the government's directive on personal loan capping introduced a few years back. I tell you, it WAS madness! People were borrowing beyond their means the moment they were employed (in the government sector of course). And those borrowed money were spent mostly on some unnecessary items such as big, expensive cars and large and lavish weddings. (If there are people out there who borrowed for some worthy cause, then I respect.) They were even some idiots (sorry but I HAVE to use that word) who borrowed at 9% interest rate and put those money back in the bank in a form of fixed deposit which only had about 3-5% return. I mean HOW did these people think, is still beyond my comprehension!
Anyway, good luck with your new job and finding a good bank. And thanks again for reading this blog. My hope is that something good would come out of it. I never intend to belittle anyone. I just hope we Bruneians get to think before we do something that sometimes can be life-altering. Haha look I've become emotional!
Salaam.
P.S Anyone working in the banks are WELCOMED to sell their services *wink*
Friday, 15 February 2008
What Others Think of Us
I found this article from the Wall Street Journal dated some time in 2005 (click HERE). Honestly, I have a lump in my throat reading it but I guess it's reality and reality often bites. It may not be entirely true but to me it just shows how others think of us *sigh*.
So, WHAT shall we do to prove them wrong?
Salaam.
So, WHAT shall we do to prove them wrong?
Salaam.
Monday, 11 February 2008
How Poor is Poor?
A few weeks ago, my officemate and I had an interesting conversation. He comes from Guyana, a country in South America. We were discussing about our economies. And he asked me whether Brunei has any economic problems. Well of course I told him that we have had the problem of trying to diversify our economy and being a 'richly' oil-dependent country we also have our own unique set of problems which include unemployment and to a certain extent, poverty.
So he asked me how is 'poverty' in Brunei? Poverty in Guyana according to him means you are so poor that you probably can't even buy the basic food for the day. And about 40% of the population is poor.
Well to tell you the truth it is quite a difficult question to answer. Firstly, we don't have or rather we don't publish (if there is one, that is!) our poverty line. Poverty line is the minimum level of income that is required in order to achieve an adequate standard of living. Of course, different countries have different levels of poverty line. Richer countries would have higher rates. So I guess, if Brunei were to have its poverty line, ours would be higher than the Guyana's. It would also be VERY interesting to know what percentage of people falls below the poverty line (perhaps a post on this topic soon, ya?) Anyway, I told him, I have not yet seen or heard of extreme poverty in Brunei probably because we are quite blessed with a caring and a giving society. The moment we hear someone is in need, we quickly rush to give some help.
Anyway, our conversation continued. Guyana, being a poor agricultural country, imposes about 30% income tax and on top of that about 20% value added tax (i.e. tax on goods and services). I then asked him whether he was thinking of migrating to the US or even the UK. And interestingly he told me NO. Despite the fact that the economy and the politics are in sh*tty conditions, he said he would still want to go back and DO something for the country. He said, people accept their lives. High taxes and so on. As long as they are happy, then they are not complaining. They are grateful with what they have and with their beautiful country.
At that time I was thinking to myself, there we were debating whether or not Brunei should stop giving the fuel subsidy, when these people from poor countries are so content with their lives! How pathetic can we be? Who are poorer? They may be poor in monetary terms but their spirits and strengths are definitely richer than us. In that sense also, we are poorer in terms of our inability to become less dependent from the help of the government. I actually wonder how many people or graduates have actually thought that they want to work for the government to help build the nation rather than thinking of getting all those perks?
What I'm trying to say is that we should be grateful with what Allah s.w.t has blessed us with and to a large extent, our caring government. We have no political havoc to deal with and apart from the road tax, we have never had to pay any other taxes. Perhaps, for a great many of us, don't even know what 'tax' is?
Anyway, in light of our coming 24th National Day, let us all together be strong in spirit and strength, independent in minds and together help build our nation.
Salaam.
So he asked me how is 'poverty' in Brunei? Poverty in Guyana according to him means you are so poor that you probably can't even buy the basic food for the day. And about 40% of the population is poor.
Well to tell you the truth it is quite a difficult question to answer. Firstly, we don't have or rather we don't publish (if there is one, that is!) our poverty line. Poverty line is the minimum level of income that is required in order to achieve an adequate standard of living. Of course, different countries have different levels of poverty line. Richer countries would have higher rates. So I guess, if Brunei were to have its poverty line, ours would be higher than the Guyana's. It would also be VERY interesting to know what percentage of people falls below the poverty line (perhaps a post on this topic soon, ya?) Anyway, I told him, I have not yet seen or heard of extreme poverty in Brunei probably because we are quite blessed with a caring and a giving society. The moment we hear someone is in need, we quickly rush to give some help.
Anyway, our conversation continued. Guyana, being a poor agricultural country, imposes about 30% income tax and on top of that about 20% value added tax (i.e. tax on goods and services). I then asked him whether he was thinking of migrating to the US or even the UK. And interestingly he told me NO. Despite the fact that the economy and the politics are in sh*tty conditions, he said he would still want to go back and DO something for the country. He said, people accept their lives. High taxes and so on. As long as they are happy, then they are not complaining. They are grateful with what they have and with their beautiful country.
At that time I was thinking to myself, there we were debating whether or not Brunei should stop giving the fuel subsidy, when these people from poor countries are so content with their lives! How pathetic can we be? Who are poorer? They may be poor in monetary terms but their spirits and strengths are definitely richer than us. In that sense also, we are poorer in terms of our inability to become less dependent from the help of the government. I actually wonder how many people or graduates have actually thought that they want to work for the government to help build the nation rather than thinking of getting all those perks?
What I'm trying to say is that we should be grateful with what Allah s.w.t has blessed us with and to a large extent, our caring government. We have no political havoc to deal with and apart from the road tax, we have never had to pay any other taxes. Perhaps, for a great many of us, don't even know what 'tax' is?
Anyway, in light of our coming 24th National Day, let us all together be strong in spirit and strength, independent in minds and together help build our nation.
Salaam.
Wednesday, 16 January 2008
Fuel Subsidy, Again.
I'm quite disappointed with the comments made by the acting Chairman of BEDB. As an economist and an entrepreneur, it is actually the least I expected from him. A few days ago he did mention that Brunei should stand up and face the economic challenges and be prepared to changes and be more adaptable to changes. Well, this is a challenge! If Bruneians can face this challenge, then let's bring the others...
First of all, he didn't seem to acknowledge that car fuel, at times when global prices are rising, is not a necessity. True, people's lives will be affected as the cost of driving a car will go up due to a reduction in subsidy and it will also affect the prices of goods. But I believe people will react by economising not only the use of their cars but also their day to day purchases down to the level of necessity. It would certainly be a different matter, if the government were to reduce the level of subsidy on electricity (but again Bruneians DO NOT economise their electricity usage).
Now, if the government were to decide to go ahead with the slashing of the fuel subsidy, the relavant government agencies should come forward to alleviate the effects on the lives of Bruneians. Firstly, this is when Price Control should be THE active policy in regulating the prices of necessities. Price ceilings of goods which are deemed staple MUST be worked out NOW so that sellers do not take advantage of the increasing fuel price.
Secondly, the Ministry of Education and/or the Ministry of Communication for instance, should come forward in helping parents transporting their children to school. School buses have to be provided and preferably privatised. This will not only directly help the people but also can help boost the transportation industry.
According to the Minister of Energy, about B$500 million was spent on the fuel subsidy in 2005. Again, that's A LOT! The money could be spent on other productive activities including in providing the resources for the above-mentioned activities. But the one use that can directly help the weak private sector and perhaps nurture new entrepreneurial ideas is to use it as SEED MONEY. Instead of spending millions making Bruneians lazy, why not use a fraction of the money making lots of Brunei entrepreneurs. Now BEDB could play a big role here as the agency responsible in giving seed money to the potential entrepreneurs.
Anyway, what I'm trying to say is that in 'every challenge there lies an opportunity' as there must always be 'a blessing in disguise'. This should be the slogan to any good entrepreneur. And I also wonder why should Bruneians be insulated from the effects of the global forces as I think it is unhealthy to the development of a resilient economy and a nation as a whole. It is high time, Bruneians learn to think rationally and start prioritising their lives. Not only that, I also think that a shock is probably what this sleepy country needs to revitalise its weak economy.
Salaam.
First of all, he didn't seem to acknowledge that car fuel, at times when global prices are rising, is not a necessity. True, people's lives will be affected as the cost of driving a car will go up due to a reduction in subsidy and it will also affect the prices of goods. But I believe people will react by economising not only the use of their cars but also their day to day purchases down to the level of necessity. It would certainly be a different matter, if the government were to reduce the level of subsidy on electricity (but again Bruneians DO NOT economise their electricity usage).
Now, if the government were to decide to go ahead with the slashing of the fuel subsidy, the relavant government agencies should come forward to alleviate the effects on the lives of Bruneians. Firstly, this is when Price Control should be THE active policy in regulating the prices of necessities. Price ceilings of goods which are deemed staple MUST be worked out NOW so that sellers do not take advantage of the increasing fuel price.
Secondly, the Ministry of Education and/or the Ministry of Communication for instance, should come forward in helping parents transporting their children to school. School buses have to be provided and preferably privatised. This will not only directly help the people but also can help boost the transportation industry.
According to the Minister of Energy, about B$500 million was spent on the fuel subsidy in 2005. Again, that's A LOT! The money could be spent on other productive activities including in providing the resources for the above-mentioned activities. But the one use that can directly help the weak private sector and perhaps nurture new entrepreneurial ideas is to use it as SEED MONEY. Instead of spending millions making Bruneians lazy, why not use a fraction of the money making lots of Brunei entrepreneurs. Now BEDB could play a big role here as the agency responsible in giving seed money to the potential entrepreneurs.
Anyway, what I'm trying to say is that in 'every challenge there lies an opportunity' as there must always be 'a blessing in disguise'. This should be the slogan to any good entrepreneur. And I also wonder why should Bruneians be insulated from the effects of the global forces as I think it is unhealthy to the development of a resilient economy and a nation as a whole. It is high time, Bruneians learn to think rationally and start prioritising their lives. Not only that, I also think that a shock is probably what this sleepy country needs to revitalise its weak economy.
Salaam.
"The basic difference between an ordinary man and a warrior is that a warrior takes everything as a challenge while an ordinary man takes everything either as a blessing or a curse." (Carlos Casteneda)
P.S. If you read the news, the US economy is heading more and more towards a recession. A gloomy sign to the global economy. Now, that's a BIG challenge!
Sunday, 13 January 2008
YES To Realistic Fuel Prices
Many people may disagree with me, but I think after so many years, finally someone is thinking with a right mind!
If you read my previous post on car fuel, you would know that the prices of car fuel in Brunei are perhaps the cheapest in the world. It is not without its cost. And the cost is obviously borned by the government in terms of subsidy (for 1 litre of diesel, the government is paying about 80cents and 60cents for a litre of Premium 97). That is A LOT!
Many of you would, by now are probably thinking, 'So What? Oil Price is soaring high now, surely the government's coffer is filling and why not share with the people?' . Well, first of all, oil and fuel are 2 different things. The car fuel's prices depends on the oil prices. When oil price goes up, the fuel price also goes up or the cost of producing fuel goes up. The price that we pay however is way below the cost of production. That means the government has to spend more on subsidy to ensure the fuel prices we pay in Brunei stay the same.
Secondly, yes it is true that the increase in oil price would definitely increase the government's revenue, but the money could be spent on other productive things which would have positive economic long-term impact on the country. Life is, after all, not all about cars! And, I believe it is also the time that the government increases its saving (and investment) for Brunei's future generation. in order to maintain our standard of living.
Thirdly, I honestly think that it is high time that the Bruneians live in a real world. By having realistic fuel prices will definitely awaken many people. The last previous posts, I wrote about 'rentier mentality'. As a result, many Bruneians take things for granted. Ever since Brunei started to export oil, Brunei has become a 'welfare state' up to the point that the people do not seem even know how to stand on their own feet! The government becomes the soul provider and this causes Brunei economy to stand still. Worse, people endlessly complain that the government is not doing enough. People want MORE, but never GIVE back!
Look at Norway, the third largest oil producer in the world. Do you know how much their fuel costs? The last I check, it was about US$7 per gallon. With the current US rate, that's about B$2.40 per litre! The government imposes higher tax, at times when oil price goes up, to reduce consumption. And their population of about 4.5 million use cheap hydro energy power! Well, where they have 'hydro power', I think Brunei should seriously be looking at solar energy as an alternative. And, now is a GOOD time for Brunei to seriously invest in some solar power.
OK. If you are still not convinced that a reduction in fuel subsidy (an increase in the fuel price) will do Brunei a greater good, I also believe that other positive impacts will also result.
First, I think the transportation industry may stand a good chance to benefit from such policy. People may start using buses and taxis. If you are still asking whether or not Bruneians are ready to take such dramatic actions (dramatic only in Brunei as it is perfectly normal for people to use public transportation abroad) well of course the answer would be NO. No one is ready to change their comfortable lifestyle. But an improved transportation industry will create more employments, improve services and most of all, can help reduce pollution.
Second, the price of cars will go down. The rule of demand and supply will apply. As demand for cars go down, price will follow.
Third, people will (hopefully) think twice of buying luxurious cars for the sake of showing-off and instead will spend the money on other important matters in life :)
Finally, I also think that it will help foster a stronger family relationship and communication. People, especially family will economise the use of cars. Gone will be foreign drivers. Parents will collect their own children. Husbands and wives will probably share the same car. As a result, communication improves and LOVE grows.....hehehe.
Anyway, these all are just my thoughts. I will probably change my mind when I'm back in Brunei haha. But I still strongly feel that more positive effects will come out of a policy change in the fuel subsidy. Proper research on the impacts obviously are called for. I do however hope it WILL be implemented.
Salaam.
P.S I am still sure that many of you are saying that 'Other prices have gone up too!'. Well, I say 'Welcome to the Real World.....'.
If you read my previous post on car fuel, you would know that the prices of car fuel in Brunei are perhaps the cheapest in the world. It is not without its cost. And the cost is obviously borned by the government in terms of subsidy (for 1 litre of diesel, the government is paying about 80cents and 60cents for a litre of Premium 97). That is A LOT!
Many of you would, by now are probably thinking, 'So What? Oil Price is soaring high now, surely the government's coffer is filling and why not share with the people?' . Well, first of all, oil and fuel are 2 different things. The car fuel's prices depends on the oil prices. When oil price goes up, the fuel price also goes up or the cost of producing fuel goes up. The price that we pay however is way below the cost of production. That means the government has to spend more on subsidy to ensure the fuel prices we pay in Brunei stay the same.
Secondly, yes it is true that the increase in oil price would definitely increase the government's revenue, but the money could be spent on other productive things which would have positive economic long-term impact on the country. Life is, after all, not all about cars! And, I believe it is also the time that the government increases its saving (and investment) for Brunei's future generation. in order to maintain our standard of living.
Thirdly, I honestly think that it is high time that the Bruneians live in a real world. By having realistic fuel prices will definitely awaken many people. The last previous posts, I wrote about 'rentier mentality'. As a result, many Bruneians take things for granted. Ever since Brunei started to export oil, Brunei has become a 'welfare state' up to the point that the people do not seem even know how to stand on their own feet! The government becomes the soul provider and this causes Brunei economy to stand still. Worse, people endlessly complain that the government is not doing enough. People want MORE, but never GIVE back!
Look at Norway, the third largest oil producer in the world. Do you know how much their fuel costs? The last I check, it was about US$7 per gallon. With the current US rate, that's about B$2.40 per litre! The government imposes higher tax, at times when oil price goes up, to reduce consumption. And their population of about 4.5 million use cheap hydro energy power! Well, where they have 'hydro power', I think Brunei should seriously be looking at solar energy as an alternative. And, now is a GOOD time for Brunei to seriously invest in some solar power.
OK. If you are still not convinced that a reduction in fuel subsidy (an increase in the fuel price) will do Brunei a greater good, I also believe that other positive impacts will also result.
First, I think the transportation industry may stand a good chance to benefit from such policy. People may start using buses and taxis. If you are still asking whether or not Bruneians are ready to take such dramatic actions (dramatic only in Brunei as it is perfectly normal for people to use public transportation abroad) well of course the answer would be NO. No one is ready to change their comfortable lifestyle. But an improved transportation industry will create more employments, improve services and most of all, can help reduce pollution.
Second, the price of cars will go down. The rule of demand and supply will apply. As demand for cars go down, price will follow.
Third, people will (hopefully) think twice of buying luxurious cars for the sake of showing-off and instead will spend the money on other important matters in life :)
Finally, I also think that it will help foster a stronger family relationship and communication. People, especially family will economise the use of cars. Gone will be foreign drivers. Parents will collect their own children. Husbands and wives will probably share the same car. As a result, communication improves and LOVE grows.....hehehe.
Anyway, these all are just my thoughts. I will probably change my mind when I'm back in Brunei haha. But I still strongly feel that more positive effects will come out of a policy change in the fuel subsidy. Proper research on the impacts obviously are called for. I do however hope it WILL be implemented.
Salaam.
P.S I am still sure that many of you are saying that 'Other prices have gone up too!'. Well, I say 'Welcome to the Real World.....'.
Sunday, 6 January 2008
Aren't We a Flashing Nation?
It was quite amusing to find the news in Brudirect today. The first main news was about the raid in the hotel, the second was about religious school adopting a system of something, the third was about another irresponsible Bruneian and look! the fourth main news was the announcement of the open tender for 2-digit license plate..Wow! LOL
This, to me just shows how 'flashing' the Bruneians are. The shorter and the smaller your car plate numbers, the more 'VIP' you are. So, people (hoping to be VIPs) are willing to pay loads just to get their so called 'favourite or lucky' numbers. Baah!
I'm actually quite sad that this is the lifestyle adopted by a great number of Bruneians. Big (and expensive) flashy cars. The latest mobile phones. The last time they played golf (which would always be the last weekend). The biggest flat screen tvs. The most beads (manik) on the baju kurung (haha). And the list goes on. It is like people seem to think that they are judged by what they use or wear. (Maybe some people do actually judge by those criteria. What a pity!).
To tell you the truth, it is really quite uncomfortable to be around these types of people (who are almost everywhere in Brunei). Especially if your mobile phone is about 2 years old, you wear just a baju kurung, your car is just another Toyota and you don't play golf!. At the same time however it is also very irritating when all they talk about are the latest mobile phones or their handicap (what?! handicap?! are they 'special' or something?) or the latest car they just bought. Wow! The world must be perfect for these people despite the fact that their latest credit card bills would probably be almost reaching the limit, the headmasters of their children's schools are scratching their heads waiting for the school fee payments (which I can tell you LOADS!) and their disposable income is probably less than 30% of their gross income. Worse, there is no saving for their children's future!
And sadly, it is not only me who is pitying our fellow Bruneians, the foreigners too. When we went back to Brunei sometime last year, we (my hubby and I) decided that it was time to replace our ageing mobile phones (the girl gave me a sly smile when I asked if I could use 3G with that phone. Haha THAT old!). So while the Filipino lady was preparing our phones I asked her how many people buy phones each day. And she said 'quite many'. And I asked her, 'paid by cash or using one of those installments offered by the banks i.e. hutang lah?'. And she gave me this smile (that translates 'are you kidding? cash?). And I asked how many? She said 'quite many'. Then she said she didn't understand why people wanted to put themselves into debt just for a mobile phone. I said, don't let your boss hear you saying that..hahaha.
A couple of times, I must admit my husband and I were thinking of buying one of those luxurious cars. Why not? We can afford it, can't we?
Well..after 1 night sleep we scratched off that thought. Why? First, a car is NOT an asset, it is a LIABILITY..the first 2 years of driving..wow..fantastic...but then...after that...I'm sure many of you would love to share the cost of maintaining such cars. Second, we haven't got a house of our own. Until we do..then we say FORGET it!. Finally, there's our children's education funds. If our children are brilliant then, perhaps some scholarships would be granted. But you never know what will happen in the future.
I'm actually quite worried that this kind of 'rich and flashy' lifestyle is adopted not only by the middle-income earners but also the lower-income earners. The desire to have luxurious items is probably the main culprit why many Bruneians have become 'poor'. If you were to measure the level of poverty based on the disposable income, I am sure it will be staggering. How to amend this? A simple answer from an economist would probably through the good old tax. But I'm sure nobody wants that (and I am also risking my neck suggesting it hahaha!). But I think some kind of awareness campaign against debt should be introduced where the message has to be strong and the campaign done rigorously.
Oh well..it's a beautiful Sunday morning here in England and we need to do some grocery shopping. My only hope (more of a wishful thinking) is that Bruneians will change. I'd honestly hate to come back to the same 'flashy' nation.
Salaam.
This, to me just shows how 'flashing' the Bruneians are. The shorter and the smaller your car plate numbers, the more 'VIP' you are. So, people (hoping to be VIPs) are willing to pay loads just to get their so called 'favourite or lucky' numbers. Baah!
I'm actually quite sad that this is the lifestyle adopted by a great number of Bruneians. Big (and expensive) flashy cars. The latest mobile phones. The last time they played golf (which would always be the last weekend). The biggest flat screen tvs. The most beads (manik) on the baju kurung (haha). And the list goes on. It is like people seem to think that they are judged by what they use or wear. (Maybe some people do actually judge by those criteria. What a pity!).
To tell you the truth, it is really quite uncomfortable to be around these types of people (who are almost everywhere in Brunei). Especially if your mobile phone is about 2 years old, you wear just a baju kurung, your car is just another Toyota and you don't play golf!. At the same time however it is also very irritating when all they talk about are the latest mobile phones or their handicap (what?! handicap?! are they 'special' or something?) or the latest car they just bought. Wow! The world must be perfect for these people despite the fact that their latest credit card bills would probably be almost reaching the limit, the headmasters of their children's schools are scratching their heads waiting for the school fee payments (which I can tell you LOADS!) and their disposable income is probably less than 30% of their gross income. Worse, there is no saving for their children's future!
And sadly, it is not only me who is pitying our fellow Bruneians, the foreigners too. When we went back to Brunei sometime last year, we (my hubby and I) decided that it was time to replace our ageing mobile phones (the girl gave me a sly smile when I asked if I could use 3G with that phone. Haha THAT old!). So while the Filipino lady was preparing our phones I asked her how many people buy phones each day. And she said 'quite many'. And I asked her, 'paid by cash or using one of those installments offered by the banks i.e. hutang lah?'. And she gave me this smile (that translates 'are you kidding? cash?). And I asked how many? She said 'quite many'. Then she said she didn't understand why people wanted to put themselves into debt just for a mobile phone. I said, don't let your boss hear you saying that..hahaha.
A couple of times, I must admit my husband and I were thinking of buying one of those luxurious cars. Why not? We can afford it, can't we?
Well..after 1 night sleep we scratched off that thought. Why? First, a car is NOT an asset, it is a LIABILITY..the first 2 years of driving..wow..fantastic...but then...after that...I'm sure many of you would love to share the cost of maintaining such cars. Second, we haven't got a house of our own. Until we do..then we say FORGET it!. Finally, there's our children's education funds. If our children are brilliant then, perhaps some scholarships would be granted. But you never know what will happen in the future.
I'm actually quite worried that this kind of 'rich and flashy' lifestyle is adopted not only by the middle-income earners but also the lower-income earners. The desire to have luxurious items is probably the main culprit why many Bruneians have become 'poor'. If you were to measure the level of poverty based on the disposable income, I am sure it will be staggering. How to amend this? A simple answer from an economist would probably through the good old tax. But I'm sure nobody wants that (and I am also risking my neck suggesting it hahaha!). But I think some kind of awareness campaign against debt should be introduced where the message has to be strong and the campaign done rigorously.
Oh well..it's a beautiful Sunday morning here in England and we need to do some grocery shopping. My only hope (more of a wishful thinking) is that Bruneians will change. I'd honestly hate to come back to the same 'flashy' nation.
Salaam.
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