TAP

I was reading the news about TAP today and I couldn’t help doing a quick calculation on my own TAP. And I am worried. Because I don’t think I will have enough money to support myself, let alone to support my family, when I retire until I die.

With the current TAP contributions of 10 % (5%-employee & 5% employer), by the time I retire I will probably earn about $200K. Now, let’s say I live for another 20 years then my monthly retirement will be about $800. I have not taken factors such as inflation which will make the $800 have a lesser value, and Brunei-without-oil which will probably mean I need to spend more for my basic necessities such as medical care.

Oh dear. What should I do? Contribute more seems to be the suggestion.

But hang on, what about those who are earning less than me? What about those who have many children to support? Who, even now, are difficult to make ends meet. How can they possibly ‘voluntarily pay more’ in their contributions?

Anyway, I googled Singapore’s Central Provident Fund (click CPF for a quick summary) which is their TAP equivalence (but more superior). What I find very interesting is their principal behind their scheme:

Over the years, the success of the CPF scheme has depended on values such as self-reliance, good work ethos and family support. Besides encouraging self-reliance, the various schemes underscore the members’ responsibilities as parents, children and breadwinners. The values that the CPF both promote and rely upon include: Standing on one’s own two feet. Every CPF member is encouraged to work, even beyond his retirement age. The CPF savings will guarantee him a comfortable retirement. Even those with modest savings will have enough for basic needs. This self-reliance—funding one’s own retirement instead of relying on the future generation—is a vital element of the scheme.

I don’t know about you but the word ‘guarantee’ stands up. With their total of 30% contribution (10% employee, 20% employer) surely can make that happen. And reading further, there is a required minimum sum to be met, which at the moment is around $100K.

Now, I don’t mean to criticize and belittle anyone’s effort but we seriously need to review our TAP scheme. For a starter, I don’t see any harm in increasing the employer’s contribution. As for those who are working in SMEs, whose employers can’t make the increasing contribution, shouldn't they deserve a miniscule slice of oil income?


Salaam.

Are We THAT Thick?

After reading the Brunei Times’ piece on ‘Mobile Phones as a symbol of social standing’, the first thought that came to my mind was just how thick we Bruneians can be. In this holy month, I know I shouldn't be having any negative thought but I’m seriously frustrated! But I honestly lost my head when I read a 36-year old civil servant admitted that “his eyes are closed when he pays for a new phone”. O Dear! What is wrong with us?!

[Let me Breathe…]

I don’t know how these people can afford to constantly buy the latest phones. But I suspect credit, be it credit card or bank loan, is the main mode of payment.

Well, I came across an article in Slate that talked about the role of credits in our everyday lives. It was interesting the way it likened credit to a leverage i.e. power that allows you lift a heavy stuff. In this case, credits make everything appear so cheap. Or another way of seeing it, without credit, things look expensive.

Don’t get me wrong, I am not totally against credit cards or even personal loans. There are times, especially when we are travelling, credit cards will come in very handy. Or for when budget is tight and your freezer suddenly dies on you, then the personal loan that is being offered in the shops, can help save your life. But to use credits just to prove that you have a high salary or to have the latest mobile phone or camera that even can rival James Bond’s is beyond me! It’s even worse if you are buying a new phone at the expense of your child’s school fee.

In these last few days of Ramadhan, I can imagine the ‘eyes-turn-blind’ shopping frenzies are at their peaks in Brunei.

This can lead to a disaster, not only to the poor (or shall I call ‘thick’) person’s life but also to the health of the economy. In fact, I believe this is also another culprit that contributes to the increasing number of claims of being ‘poor’ in Brunei.

So I say, please…… whoever or whichever authority is looking into the credit policy in Brunei, to look into this seriously. It is high time we put a credit rating system in place. What I mean is that you can’t just allow any Tom, Dick and Harry that has a blue payslip enters into a credit contract without a thorough check on his financial background.

Everyday in the news, we hear about ‘credit crunch’ happening globally that has even put those giant corporations down on their knees and even collapse. It all started from careless and inappropriate lending. Anyway, it probably is still a foreign term in Brunei, so let’s keep it that way.

Selamat Menyambut Hari Raya Aidil Fitri. Spend Wisely!

Salaam.

Are We Poor OR Are We Stupid?

It is sad to see and hear about the events happening in Brunei (i.e. the food clamouring and the coupon stampede) that have even result into human tragedy (courtesy to ranoadidas.com for always bringing the important news). It would be normal if it happened in a third world country, but for it to happen in Brunei, an oil-rich country, is quite extraordinary.

The question, as rightly put by Mr. Brunei Resources, is “What Happened to Bruneians?”

Now, there are 2 schools of thoughts. One says that it is simply because we are poorer and the other says we are too materialistic that we don’t even know how to differentiate between what is right and what is wrong i.e we are stupid.

Unfortunately, we can never truly find out until a proper income gap analysis is carried out. It is imperative that we know how many Bruneians are poor, how poor and why they are poor. Without such analysis, then we can never know and we will only end up having the rich blaming the poor (of being immoral and shameless) and the poor blaming the system (of unfairness).

While I do not doubt the existence of those who are genuinely poor, I also believe that the pool of poor people in Brunei is also largely made-up of those self-made poor, who are spending beyond their means. Regardless of how people become poor, we need to address poverty properly. There are 2 critical issues to tackle. One, how do we lift Bruneians off their existing poverty and two, how to keep the zero poverty (if it is ever achieved).

Now, if I were an economic advisor to Brunei, these are what I would suggest:

1. Get our statistics and figure right. We NEED to know our poverty statistics A.S.A.P.
2. If the finding (whether this is made public or otherwise) is that there are indeed a large number of poor people in Brunei, then we really need to review our economy. If people are poor because there is no job, then we need to pump-up the economy. This is THE time to make use of the oil-money.
3. Lifting people off poverty does not simply mean giving them money. We need to be creative in giving them the means to make money. True, this is easier said than done given the unfortunate attitude of some (most?) of Bruneians who more than many times do not see the rationale behind the self-aid help. But with proper monitoring and perhaps some taught management skill, I’m sure there will be some positive results. The key is for the relevant agency to NOT to give-up. Don’t let one bad apple ruins the whole basket.
4. It is time to differentiate the different types of goods available in the market. There are the luxurious and there are the normal ones. The problem in Brunei is that there are too many ‘high standard’ people who will not make do with just the normal goods and then there are also too many of us who always want to keep up with the Joneses. For many of these people, the euphoria of owning the latest mobile set or a branded watch has blinded their rational judgement and has reduced their mathematical ability to calculate their monthly balance to pre-kindy level. Therefore I believe the good old system of tax can somewhat alleviate this problem of euphoria-blindness. We need to tax (highly) the luxurious goods.
5. A credit monitoring system needs to be put in place. I cannot just go to any store and sign any credit agreement without a thorough check of my credit rating.
6. It is time to review the TAP contribution. There is a need to increase the contribution from the employees. We need to make sure Bruneians save for their own future. And of course, since Brunei coffer by now must have filled with a lot of oil money, I would also say that the government needs also to increase its contribution into TAP not only into the account of those in the public sector but also to Bruneians in the private sector. Afterall, the money is saved for the future. This contribution from the government I believe could be the key to reduce the remuneration gap between the public-private sectors. It would help increase the attractiveness of the private sector and would (hopefully) alleviate the problem of lazy Bruneians who would rather be unemployed than do manual job.
7. We need also to look at our system of income re-distribution. How do we re-distribute the income from the rich to the poor. While income tax may not be accepted in the near future, property tax certainly deserves some high level discussion now.
8. I don’t know how good our police force or those in the NCB are in combating drug wars, but I pray with all my heart for them to be really good.
9. Finally, I think too much subsidy make people too lazy.

Salaam.

Big Salary, Enough Salary?

Today, thousands of teachers in the UK went on strike and as a result thousands of schools were closed, forcing millions of parents to look for alternative daycare for their children. Thankfully, my children's school didn't participate so school was normal for them.

Today was the teachers. Previously, the university lecturers, the postmen/women and the policemen/women also went on strike due to dispute over pay rise.

I'm thankful that no such incidence has ever happened in Brunei. I cannot imagine the reaction from our government :). But then the pay and perks in the government sector are higher compared to the private sector. Whether or not the current salary scales are appropriate (i.e. taking into account the inflation growth rates over the years) is however another question. I can see the dilemma our government would be facing if the current wage rates are found to be below the appropriate rates. If it raises the scale, it will further widen the public-private wage gap.

Don't take me wrong. I'm not asking for a pay rise. But I think it is unavoidable and equally necessary for some sort of study on the appropriateness of the current salary scale to be carried out especially in the light of poverty reduction. The results will not only be used to aid the poverty alleviation policy but will also be useful in other policies and most of all will be very, very interesting (at least to me!).

Salaam.

Moral Hazard

I'm quite pleased that someone brought the issue of moral hazard in my last post. Because to me it is precisely the reason why currently there is a debt of $15 million.

For those of you who do not know what moral hazard is, it is a 'behaviour' that occurs when someone KNOWS that he will not bear the full consequences of his action. (Notice my emphasis on 'knows'). So in the case of the housing debt we talked about in the last post, people are not paying simply because they know that there is nothing the government will do.

And this is also precisely the reason why we should have different sets of policies for different sets of people (and probably different sets of houses). At the moment, everybody (the poor, the rich and those in between) is paying the same amount of money with the same set of terms and conditions, which to me simply is not fair. And I also believe that this is the reason why any kind of enforcement is difficult because by 'punishing' one debtor entails the 'punishment' of ALL debtors, regardless of the economic status of the debtor. So, while sending a summon or court order or even confiscating the house of those debtors who are actually able to pay can be accepted as a just and a proper action, it is however morally unacceptable to do the same thing to those who are genuinely unable to pay.

Therefore I believe that my suggestion to write off the debts of those who are genuinely unable to pay i.e the poor and ONLY the poor, will not lead to moral hazard. The effectiveness however lies in the efficiency of the relevant agency to detect who is genuinely unable to pay and who is not and to be ready with the 'punishment' to those who are attempting deception.

Anyway, while the objective of providing a roof or a land for every Brunei household perhaps sounds simple, it does not necessarily mean that the policy needs also be simple (i.e. one policy, applies to all) which has proven that it is NOT simple at all. I believe nothing wrong with some creativity in policy-making as long as the objective is met.

There is a need for us to be clear with our national objectives; and every policy or every department or even every ministry must cater to each and every objective. From my humble observation presently this is not the case. Everyone seems to be trying to be a champion and meet its own objectives which most often do not tally with the national objectives. Oh well, what do I know? I'm just a student with loads of 'idealistic but not necessarily realistic' theories, ya?

Salaam.

Housing Debt

According to the Dep Perm Sec of the Ministry of Development, there is a $15 million outstanding loans for the National Housing Scheme and Skim Tanah Kurnia Rakyat Jati, and this if repaid can help build an additional 100 houses of class E plus infrastructure (see here). In other countries, housing loan arrears can result in homelessness (i.e you'll be kicked out of the house!) but NOT in Brunei.

*Tsk*tsk* Shame on You! Ungrateful Bruneians..!

But then I said to myself, $15 million? Only?! The last I checked, Brunei’s GDP was $15.9 billion in 2005. If you think about it, that’s only about 0.09 per cent! As much as I want to condemn this act or irresponsibility, I am sure there are many cases of genuine inability to pay. In the spirit of eradicating poverty in Brunei, what is the possibility of writing-off some of those debts? Especially to the poor, actually ONLY to the poor.

At this stage, I’m sure some of you would say “NO Can Do!” because that’s what my husband just said : ). I do, of course share his fear that the moment you give something ‘free to the poor’ then everyone will claim that he/she is poor. But then I said, I can also claim I am the Queen of Sheba and I am sure no one would believe me unless I can produce some evidence. So, for a person to claim he/she is poor, he/she needs to produce the evidence including declaring his/her lack of wealth and property.

Now, you ask, what about those who have children who can bail out their parents? You see, I think we assume too much. I ask, what makes we think that the children are willing and able to do just that? And for this reason, I believe we must have a system that ensures that the payment of the house is the sole responsibility of the buyer (i.e. NOT his children Nor his guarantors).

OK, what I’m trying to say is that Brunei needs to review its housing schemes. I think we simply cannot have a “one shoe, fits all” policy. Clearly, those who are unfortunate and less-able should have a different set of terms and conditions and prices. On the other hand, we need to tighten the conditions to those who are able, ensuring that they WILL pay (including a mandatory insurance that covers death).

Nevertheless, at the end of the day I cannot help but think that it is actually up to the individual to uphold his/her responsibility. At this stage however, I am really sorry that Brunei is unfortunate to have many irresponsible, dishonest and selfish people.

Salaam.

Poverty, again.

While reading an article in the BT on poverty in Brunei, I was thinking, how sad the reality is. It is almost unbelievable that there is extreme poverty in a country so rich (the lives of those in the article are examples of extreme or absolute poverty, and if it is indeed true that there are families earning only about $12 per day, gosh! that's defined as $1/day poverty! ). It is true that Brunei's GDP per capita has doubled within a decade but that unfortunately does not mean the income is more equally distributed.

So, how bad is the poverty in Brunei? Another article (click here), can give the picture. I cringed when I found out that there are 16,186 poor people = 3,747 families! Based on that statistic (the number of zakat recipients), about 4.3 % of Brunei's population therefore falls under the poverty line. And if my calculation is correct, each person is receiving $46 per month from the zakat fund. So a family of 8 (such as Hj Dullah in Kg. Tamoi) will receive $368 a month.

An easy and straight-forward solution to help Hj Dullah would be to give him a boat so he can operate his own water taxi. However, a few years ago, somebody mentioned that this type of aid (i.e. giving boats to Kampong Ayer's poor) actually backfired. The recipients who were supposed to earn a living with the boats, ended up selling the boats for an easy lump-sum money. I must admit, this puts a pressure on policy-makers. To give or not to give? How can we prevent such incidence from happening again? But I also believe, we can't simply just NOT give based on bad past experience.

Nevertheless I find this really is a challenge. While there are many ways to reduce poverty, I however cannot think of any policy measure that can solve the human attitude problem: the ungratefulness and the lack of responsibility that seem to exist rampantly in Brunei.
I often ask, what did we do wrong? But remember this:

“…Surely Allah does not change the condition of a people until they change their own condition…” (Qur’an 13:11).

Salaam.

Leg Co: ..On POVERTY

I'm surprised, well actually not surprised that the issue of poverty was not heavily debated, despite HM's titah on the vision of zero poverty. Honestly, I feel really sad to hear that this issue will be tackled by yet ANOTHER poverty research. I mean, seriously... how much research do we need to prove that there ARE poor people in this rich country! And what is wrong with the research made by the UBD? Do we need to waste 3, 4, 5 more years and spend millions just to prove that there is no poverty in Brunei? I've heard about this poverty research like almost 10 years ago (if I remember, it was the year I started my first job) and until today I have not seen any national poverty-related policies besides the MUIB's zakat payment. And if there are recipients of Zakat, then surely there must be poverty..what more proof do we need?

People talk about absolute poverty vs relative poverty. For those who are not familiar with those terms, 'absolute poverty' is basically the number of people or households who cannot afford certain basic goods and services, while 'relative poverty' refers to the number of households (or families if you like) whose income falls below the national average income. So, a family of 6, earning only about $1200 a month definitely falls under the category of 'relative poverty'. They may probably able to buy the basic necessities with that income but that income surely must be below our median income.

If you ask me, I don't know what our median income is, but I suspect for a rich country like us, it should be quite high. So, my question is do we really need another research just to determine our median income? Or should we put our heads together to combat poverty NOW before it gets worse. I feel what Brunei needs actually is to form a serious national committee to address this issue.

Anyway, I don't know about you, but to me poverty issue shouldn't be under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Culture Youth and Sports alone or poverty is not all about giving welfare benefits. It needs to be addressed in a holistic manner. The fundamental issue is the gap between the rich and the poor. An increasing relative poverty means that there is an unequal distribution of income i.e. there is a large gap between the rich and the poor. Therefore our main challenge is to reduce this gap, because to me income equality = zero poverty.

This should be debated. The ways and means to reduce the gap. It is not about getting salary increments (because to me that in itself will actually result in a higher gap. Why? Because not all of the poors are employed in the government sector) it is more about formulating policies that specifically deal with the poors. For example, the national housing scheme. There should be a separate policy or separate queue (if you are trying to picture it in your head) for those who fall under the category of 'relative poverty' with its own separate terms and conditions, and prices (or no price at all!)

What about subsidies and taxes? These have been the traditional means of income redistribution. Surely, it is high time Brunei reviews its subsidies. Should those who are earning above the median income level pay the same subsidised price of rice as those earning below the median income? Now, there seems to be a serious talk about the irresponsibility of our people (who presumably think that electricity and water are their God's given rights and think that electricity probably comes from air) in paying the utility bills which is costly to the government (see here). If our people continue to be thick-headed and the government decides to reduce the various utility subsidies, then what about the poors? Now, taxes....well this is THE number one taboo in Brunei. But let's start with some form of property taxes. Number 1: tax on rental properties (to help finance the national housing scheme for the poors).

And then there is the related issue of unemployment. I wrote about this in the last post. I don't know how to further express myself but this issue NEEDS to be addressed properly. If the government can no longer afford to provide full employments in the public sector, then whether we like it or not, the government needs to do something about the wage gap because unemployment can cause poverty.

What about education? Yes, we do have the 12 year education policy, but my question is does this cover EVERYone? I'm thinking about those teenagers who got pregnant/married before they finish their 12 year education. How can we help them? How do we expect them to provide for their children if they don't have enough education. Won't it contribute to the poverty spiral?

There are more to think of! Such as how do we help the poors get out of their poverty condition? You know more in the lines of Give-a-man-a-fish-and-you-feed-him-for-a-day, Teach-a-man-to-fish-you-feed-him-a-lifetime.

Oh dear, it's almost midnight. I was supposed to have a break from 'thinking' today after submitting a chapter to my supervisor :) Anyway, the whole point of this post is to actually implore the relevant government agencies to STOP wasting time and resources 'wondering' whether or not we have poverty. Whatever poverty we have now, I think should still be manageable. So please don't wait until it gets too late.

Salaam.

How Poor is Poor?

A few weeks ago, my officemate and I had an interesting conversation. He comes from Guyana, a country in South America. We were discussing about our economies. And he asked me whether Brunei has any economic problems. Well of course I told him that we have had the problem of trying to diversify our economy and being a 'richly' oil-dependent country we also have our own unique set of problems which include unemployment and to a certain extent, poverty.

So he asked me how is 'poverty' in Brunei? Poverty in Guyana according to him means you are so poor that you probably can't even buy the basic food for the day. And about 40% of the population is poor.

Well to tell you the truth it is quite a difficult question to answer. Firstly, we don't have or rather we don't publish (if there is one, that is!) our poverty line. Poverty line is the minimum level of income that is required in order to achieve an adequate standard of living. Of course, different countries have different levels of poverty line. Richer countries would have higher rates. So I guess, if Brunei were to have its poverty line, ours would be higher than the Guyana's. It would also be VERY interesting to know what percentage of people falls below the poverty line (perhaps a post on this topic soon, ya?) Anyway, I told him, I have not yet seen or heard of extreme poverty in Brunei probably because we are quite blessed with a caring and a giving society. The moment we hear someone is in need, we quickly rush to give some help.

Anyway, our conversation continued. Guyana, being a poor agricultural country, imposes about 30% income tax and on top of that about 20% value added tax (i.e. tax on goods and services). I then asked him whether he was thinking of migrating to the US or even the UK. And interestingly he told me NO. Despite the fact that the economy and the politics are in sh*tty conditions, he said he would still want to go back and DO something for the country. He said, people accept their lives. High taxes and so on. As long as they are happy, then they are not complaining. They are grateful with what they have and with their beautiful country.

At that time I was thinking to myself, there we were debating whether or not Brunei should stop giving the fuel subsidy, when these people from poor countries are so content with their lives! How pathetic can we be? Who are poorer? They may be poor in monetary terms but their spirits and strengths are definitely richer than us. In that sense also, we are poorer in terms of our inability to become less dependent from the help of the government. I actually wonder how many people or graduates have actually thought that they want to work for the government to help build the nation rather than thinking of getting all those perks?

What I'm trying to say is that we should be grateful with what Allah s.w.t has blessed us with and to a large extent, our caring government. We have no political havoc to deal with and apart from the road tax, we have never had to pay any other taxes. Perhaps, for a great many of us, don't even know what 'tax' is?

Anyway, in light of our coming 24th National Day, let us all together be strong in spirit and strength, independent in minds and together help build our nation.

Salaam.